Trouble in Taiwan: Hague ruling on Taiping Island gives Tsai her biggest headache

by Lawrence Chung / 30 July 2016 / SouthChinaMorningPost

Analysts say Taiwanese president has been stabbed in the back by US and Japan, two countries she had been relying on for support in row with Beijing

Call it bad luck. From the devastation caused by a powerful typhoon to an international ruling that torpedoed Taipei’s claim to an exclusive economic zone in the South China Sea, Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen has faced a host of challenges in her first two months in office.

But the biggest challenge, analysts say, is the cross-strait tightrope she has been walking after apparently being stabbed in the back by the United States and Japan, two countries she had been counting on when dealing with pressure from the mainland.

And that tightrope act could get even trickier, they say, if she presses ahead with an evasive cross-strait policy, because Beijing is unlikely to abandon its demand that she accept the “one-China” principle.

Since Tsai assumed office on May 20, catastrophes including the flooding of the island’s main international airport, a massive strike by flight attendants, the accidental misfiring of an anti-ship missile that killed a fisherman, a pipe bomb explosion that wounded 25 people on a commuter train and a bus fire that left 24 mainland tourists dead have followed one after the other.

Analysts said her biggest challenge so far stemmed from the July 12 tribunal ruling at the Permanent Court of Arbitration in The Hague that no land features – including Taiwan-controlled Taiping Island – in the contested Spratly archipelago in the South China Sea could be considered islands.

That ruling caught the Tsai government off guard because Taipei was never officially consulted throughout the arbitration process, which was initiated by the Philippines against Beijing over territorial and other disputes in the South China Sea. However, the court did accept written evidence from the non-government Chinese (Taiwan) Society of International Law about Taiping Island’s status.

Analysts said the US was behind the case, because it wanted to check Beijing’s expansion in the South China Sea, but it had indirectly dragged Taiwan into troubled waters.

“Because of the US influence, Taiping Island thus becomes a rock and this is the biggest betrayal of Taiwan’s [interest],” said political commentator Wang Hsing-ching, who writes under the pseudonym Nanfang Shuo.

The downgrading of Taiping’s status means that under the International Convention on the Law of Sea, Taiwan can only assert claims to territorial waters extending just 12 nautical miles from it, not an exclusive economic zone of 200 nautical miles. Read more…

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Trouble in Taiwan: Hague ruling on Taiping Island gives Tsai her biggest headache

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