How an EU-style common market can bring Hong Kong – and Taiwan – closer to China
by Zheng Yongnian / Sept 8, 2016/ South China Morning Post
If realised, a proposed South China common market encompassing 11 cities around the Pearl River bay area, including Hong Kong, would become a major economic region in the world. It would have a gross domestic product of US$1.3 trillion, twice that of the San Francisco Bay area and close to that of the New York Bay area, and the value of its foreign trade would total US$1.5 trillion, more than three times that of the Tokyo Bay area.
With both the Hong Kong and Shenzhen stock markets playing a key role in fundraising, the region could become the largest financial centre in the world by market capitalisation.
Besides Hong Kong, the 10 other cities of the proposed common market are Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Dongguan (東莞), Zhuhai (珠海), Foshan (佛山), Jiangmen ( 江門 ), Huizhou ( 惠州 ), Zhongshan (中山), Zhaoqing ( 肇慶 ) and Macau.
Over the past years, China has set up several free trade zones, in Guangdong, Shanghai, Fujian ( 福建 ) and Tianjin ( 天津 ). However, their development has fallen short of expectations at home and abroad. Voices sceptical of China’s opening-up policies have started to appear.
Indeed, the implementation of these policies has been far from ideal. One problem is that the free trade zones are too homogeneous, both within each zone and between them.
But a South China common market will be characterised by the diversity that is needed for success. Grouping mainland Chinese cities with the Hong Kong and Macau special administrative regions would enable more efficient allocation of resources. The two SARs could also share their institutional strength and cultural resources, such as the rule of law, with the mainland cities. Hong Kong and Macau’s international business environments, mature legal systems and free and fair trading systems can positively influence the Pearl River Delta region, and even the rest of the country, by providing a useful reference for other cities seeking to open up, refine their legal environment and become more market-oriented.
A South China common market could also help Beijing resolve its Hong Kong and Taiwan issues.
Hong Kong was returned to China in 1997, but its development in recent years has not been what many of us had expected. The rise of the so-called “independence forces” in the city has surprised many. Though small in number, they cannot be underestimated. If mishandled, this situation will destabilise the city. Beijing has realised the severity of the problem and is trying to enhance the governance of Hong Kong via a hands-on policy. But this approach has not been effective. Read more…